Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.119776 0.132253 0.145037 0.159087 0.174067 0.189534 0.206682
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.097414 0.115868 0.135729 0.158570 0.183984 0.211274 0.242668
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.079194 0.100986 0.125522 0.154888 0.188775 0.226358 0.270894
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.070366 0.095205 0.124241 0.160135 0.202754 0.251208 0.309909
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.062752 0.089711 0.122326 0.163818 0.214322 0.272961 0.345325
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055985 0.084357 0.119809 0.166111 0.223737 0.291894 0.377363
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049703 0.078869 0.116470 0.166816 0.230779 0.307721 0.405605
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048631 0.080116 0.121625 0.178183 0.251064 0.339748 0.453671
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044422 0.076578 0.120120 0.180674 0.259998 0.357799 0.484819
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041150 0.074025 0.119655 0.184304 0.270250 0.377455 0.518037
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037035 0.069824 0.116578 0.184149 0.275382 0.390568 0.543123
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035790 0.069828 0.119314 0.191847 0.290848 0.416895 0.584978
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034500 0.069843 0.122300 0.200334 0.308053 0.446390 0.632159
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031116 0.066211 0.119756 0.200968 0.314721 0.462438 0.662575
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026947 0.060847 0.114264 0.197103 0.315065 0.470155 0.682365
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025627 0.060219 0.115902 0.203510 0.329588 0.496657 0.726679
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023983 0.058839 0.116244 0.207946 0.341376 0.519628 0.766619
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022134 0.056885 0.115521 0.210688 0.350744 0.539414 0.802544
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020091 0.054332 0.113638 0.211534 0.357337 0.555459 0.833635
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020533 0.056663 0.119891 0.224949 0.382140 0.596449 0.898126
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019071 0.055034 0.119403 0.227884 0.391809 0.616889 0.935463
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017950 0.053981 0.119804 0.232157 0.403431 0.640080 0.976637
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.016221 0.051437 0.117466 0.231974 0.408441 0.654147 1.005638